Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-114 times over March 21-23, 2026, with 65-89 tweets leading at 32% implied probability, reflecting his recent high-volume X activity amid political feuds and Tesla hype cycles. Recent data shows Musk averaging 25-40 posts daily in 2024-2025 peaks, driven by real-time cultural clashes like AI debates and SpaceX milestones, but dipping below 20 during lulls. Close competition between mid-range bins hinges on weekend dynamics—Saturdays often spike with meme wars—versus potential quiet pre-event lulls, as no major launches are confirmed yet for spring 2026. Extremes like 240+ carry slim odds (0.3%), underscoring traders' caution against unpredictable viral moments in Musk's meme-lord persona.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado65-89 32%
90-114 26%
115-139 15%
40-64 14%
$78,728 Vol.
$78,728 Vol.
<40
3%
40-64
14%
65-89
32%
90-114
26%
115-139
15%
140-164
7%
165-189
6%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 32%
90-114 26%
115-139 15%
40-64 14%
$78,728 Vol.
$78,728 Vol.
<40
3%
40-64
14%
65-89
32%
90-114
26%
115-139
15%
140-164
7%
165-189
6%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-114 times over March 21-23, 2026, with 65-89 tweets leading at 32% implied probability, reflecting his recent high-volume X activity amid political feuds and Tesla hype cycles. Recent data shows Musk averaging 25-40 posts daily in 2024-2025 peaks, driven by real-time cultural clashes like AI debates and SpaceX milestones, but dipping below 20 during lulls. Close competition between mid-range bins hinges on weekend dynamics—Saturdays often spike with meme wars—versus potential quiet pre-event lulls, as no major launches are confirmed yet for spring 2026. Extremes like 240+ carry slim odds (0.3%), underscoring traders' caution against unpredictable viral moments in Musk's meme-lord persona.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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