Trader consensus heavily favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 19-21, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of 30-40 posts per day during active periods, as seen in 2024 data tracking over 100 posts in comparable three-day windows amid political rallies and Tesla announcements. This range captures his baseline output on X, amplified by ongoing cultural dominance through memes, SpaceX hype, and real-time commentary, with implied probabilities dipping for lower buckets like 65-89 due to rare lulls below 20 daily. Recent surges—averaging 35+ posts amid 2024 election fervor and DOGE initiatives—reinforce this positioning, though weekend dynamics and unpredictable spikes (e.g., 140+) carry tail risk absent confirmed 2026 catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado90-114 44%
115-139 23%
65-89 19%
140-164 6.5%
$741,569 Vol.
$741,569 Vol.
<40
1%
40-64
2%
65-89
19%
90-114
44%
115-139
23%
140-164
7%
165-189
2%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
90-114 44%
115-139 23%
65-89 19%
140-164 6.5%
$741,569 Vol.
$741,569 Vol.
<40
1%
40-64
2%
65-89
19%
90-114
44%
115-139
23%
140-164
7%
165-189
2%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 19-21, 2026, reflecting his established pattern of 30-40 posts per day during active periods, as seen in 2024 data tracking over 100 posts in comparable three-day windows amid political rallies and Tesla announcements. This range captures his baseline output on X, amplified by ongoing cultural dominance through memes, SpaceX hype, and real-time commentary, with implied probabilities dipping for lower buckets like 65-89 due to rare lulls below 20 daily. Recent surges—averaging 35+ posts amid 2024 election fervor and DOGE initiatives—reinforce this positioning, though weekend dynamics and unpredictable spikes (e.g., 140+) carry tail risk absent confirmed 2026 catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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