Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Truth Social posts from March 24-31, 2026, tightly around 100-179 (collectively over 80% implied probability), mirroring his historical cadence of 12-25 daily messages during active phases like campaigns and transitions. Recent president-elect activity shows sustained high volume—often 15+ posts per day—fueled by cabinet nominations, policy teases, and rapid media rebuttals, anchoring expectations near 120-160 for the eight-day span. The narrow spread persists due to posting variability from weekends, travel, or daily news cycles, with no firm 2026 schedule yet. Spikes could arise from controversies, legislative pushes, or diplomatic events, while lighter calendars might tilt toward 80-99; early-year precedents suggest steady output absent disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado100-119 24%
80-99 20%
120-139 20%
140-159 20%
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
9%
60-79
14%
80-99
20%
100-119
24%
120-139
20%
140-159
20%
160-179
20%
180-199
18%
200+
20%
100-119 24%
80-99 20%
120-139 20%
140-159 20%
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
9%
60-79
14%
80-99
20%
100-119
24%
120-139
20%
140-159
20%
160-179
20%
180-199
18%
200+
20%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Truth Social posts from March 24-31, 2026, tightly around 100-179 (collectively over 80% implied probability), mirroring his historical cadence of 12-25 daily messages during active phases like campaigns and transitions. Recent president-elect activity shows sustained high volume—often 15+ posts per day—fueled by cabinet nominations, policy teases, and rapid media rebuttals, anchoring expectations near 120-160 for the eight-day span. The narrow spread persists due to posting variability from weekends, travel, or daily news cycles, with no firm 2026 schedule yet. Spikes could arise from controversies, legislative pushes, or diplomatic events, while lighter calendars might tilt toward 80-99; early-year precedents suggest steady output absent disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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