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Elecciones·Recompensas 20, 4.5, 50

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Market icon
Elecciones·Recompensas 20, 4.5, 50

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Doly Begum 98.4%

Diana Filipova <1%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Lyall Sanders <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Doly Begum 98.4%

Diana Filipova <1%

Pooja Malhotra <1%

Lyall Sanders <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
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Doly Begum

$285 Vol.

98%

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Diana Filipova

$41 Vol.

1%

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Pooja Malhotra

$41 Vol.

1%

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Lyall Sanders

$41 Vol.

1%

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April Francisco

$41 Vol.

1%

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David Vedova

$42 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Peter Koubakis

$57 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Fatima Shaban

$43 Vol.

1%

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Doly Begum commands 98% trader consensus in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election set for April 13, fueled by the riding's historical Liberal stronghold—61% in the 2025 general election—and her incumbency-like profile as the outgoing NDP provincial MPP who resigned her seat to run federally. A March Mainstreet poll showed Liberals leading decisively, reinforced by Prime Minister Mark Carney's endorsement on April 3 and a candidate debate on April 2 highlighting local issues like housing without notable gaffes. Advance polls opened April 3 amid steady campaigning. While entrenched advantages make an upset improbable, a late scandal over her party switch, depressed Liberal turnout, or Conservative momentum for Diana Filipova could theoretically shift odds in this first-past-the-post riding.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$590
Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Doly Begum commands 98% trader consensus in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election set for April 13, fueled by the riding's historical Liberal stronghold—61% in the 2025 general election—and her incumbency-like profile as the outgoing NDP provincial MPP who resigned her seat to run federally. A March Mainstreet poll showed Liberals leading decisively, reinforced by Prime Minister Mark Carney's endorsement on April 3 and a candidate debate on April 2 highlighting local issues like housing without notable gaffes. Advance polls opened April 3 amid steady campaigning. While entrenched advantages make an upset improbable, a late scandal over her party switch, depressed Liberal turnout, or Conservative momentum for Diana Filipova could theoretically shift odds in this first-past-the-post riding.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$590
Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Doly Begum" con 98%, seguido de "Diana Filipova" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner" es "Doly Begum" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Diana Filipova" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.