Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Alpha Research, Market Links, and Trend, position Progressive Bulgaria—ex-President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment coalition—at 29-31% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, with GERB-SDS at 19-22% in second, creating a tight contest for third between PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-11%). This reflects trader consensus on PP-DB's edge among reformist voters, while DPS holds steady ethnic minority support; BSP's decline to 4% tempers its chances despite loyal base. Fragmentation and undecided voters (20-30% in surveys) keep the field volatile, with Vazrazhdane gaining to 5-8%. Campaign momentum since March 20, potential debates, and turnout could widen gaps before proportional representation allocates 240 seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoBulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PP–DB 39%
GERB-SDS 32%
APS 32%
BSP 32%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
39%
GERB-SDS
32%
APS
32%
BSP
32%
MECh
31%
Renacimiento
31%
Velichie
31%
DPS
30%
PB
28%
ITN
22%
PP–DB 39%
GERB-SDS 32%
APS 32%
BSP 32%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
$0 Vol.
39%
GERB-SDS
$0 Vol.
32%
APS
$0 Vol.
32%
BSP
$0 Vol.
32%
MECh
$0 Vol.
31%
Renacimiento
$0 Vol.
31%
Velichie
$0 Vol.
31%
DPS
$0 Vol.
30%
PB
$3 Vol.
28%
ITN
$1 Vol.
22%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Alpha Research, Market Links, and Trend, position Progressive Bulgaria—ex-President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment coalition—at 29-31% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, with GERB-SDS at 19-22% in second, creating a tight contest for third between PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-11%). This reflects trader consensus on PP-DB's edge among reformist voters, while DPS holds steady ethnic minority support; BSP's decline to 4% tempers its chances despite loyal base. Fragmentation and undecided voters (20-30% in surveys) keep the field volatile, with Vazrazhdane gaining to 5-8%. Campaign momentum since March 20, potential debates, and turnout could widen gaps before proportional representation allocates 240 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volumen
$4Fecha de finalización
Apr 19, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Alpha Research, Market Links, and Trend, position Progressive Bulgaria—ex-President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment coalition—at 29-31% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, with GERB-SDS at 19-22% in second, creating a tight contest for third between PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-11%). This reflects trader consensus on PP-DB's edge among reformist voters, while DPS holds steady ethnic minority support; BSP's decline to 4% tempers its chances despite loyal base. Fragmentation and undecided voters (20-30% in surveys) keep the field volatile, with Vazrazhdane gaining to 5-8%. Campaign momentum since March 20, potential debates, and turnout could widen gaps before proportional representation allocates 240 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$4Fecha de finalización
Apr 19, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Alpha Research, Market Links, and Trend, position Progressive Bulgaria—ex-President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment coalition—at 29-31% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, with GERB-SDS at 19-22% in second, creating a tight contest for third between PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-11%). This reflects trader consensus on PP-DB's edge among reformist voters, while DPS holds steady ethnic minority support; BSP's decline to 4% tempers its chances despite loyal base. Fragmentation and undecided voters (20-30% in surveys) keep the field volatile, with Vazrazhdane gaining to 5-8%. Campaign momentum since March 20, potential debates, and turnout could widen gaps before proportional representation allocates 240 seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes