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Elecciones·Canadá

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Market icon
Elecciones·Canadá

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Danielle Martin 96%

Bill Whatcott 2.2%

Don Hodgson 2.2%

Leslie Bory 2.2%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Danielle Martin 96%

Bill Whatcott 2.2%

Don Hodgson 2.2%

Leslie Bory 2.2%

Polymarket
NUEVO
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Danielle Martin

$74 Vol.

96%

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Bill Whatcott

$27 Vol.

2%

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Don Hodgson

$27 Vol.

2%

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Leslie Bory

$27 Vol.

2%

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Serena Purdy

$27 Vol.

2%

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Andrew Massey

$27 Vol.

2%

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Samuel Baxter

$27 Vol.

2%

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Raiden DeDominicis

$27 Vol.

2%

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Imran Khan

$27 Vol.

2%

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Andy D’Andrea

$27 Vol.

2%

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Danielle Martin holds a commanding 96% trader consensus as the Liberal frontrunner in the University—Rosedale federal by-election set for April 13, driven by the riding's entrenched Liberal dominance—Chrystia Freeland captured 64% there in the 2025 general election—and Martin's profile as a University of Toronto family medicine chair and health care advocate. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active Liberal door-knocking by MPs, underscoring organizational strength in this urban Toronto district. Fragmented opposition, including Conservative Don Hodgson (23% in 2025) and NDP's Serena Purdy (10%), lacks momentum per historical base rates in low-turnout by-elections. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, national backlash boosting Conservatives, or surge turnout tilting against the government, though structural advantages point to a Liberal hold.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$314
Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Danielle Martin holds a commanding 96% trader consensus as the Liberal frontrunner in the University—Rosedale federal by-election set for April 13, driven by the riding's entrenched Liberal dominance—Chrystia Freeland captured 64% there in the 2025 general election—and Martin's profile as a University of Toronto family medicine chair and health care advocate. Advance polls opened April 3 amid active Liberal door-knocking by MPs, underscoring organizational strength in this urban Toronto district. Fragmented opposition, including Conservative Don Hodgson (23% in 2025) and NDP's Serena Purdy (10%), lacks momentum per historical base rates in low-turnout by-elections. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, national backlash boosting Conservatives, or surge turnout tilting against the government, though structural advantages point to a Liberal hold.

A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$314
Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the University—Rosedale, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Danielle Martin" con 96%, seguido de "Bill Whatcott" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "University—Rosedale By-Election Winner", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" es "Danielle Martin" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bill Whatcott" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "University—Rosedale By-Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.