Market icon

¿Khamenei # publica del 10 al 17 de abril de 2026?

Market icon

¿Khamenei # publica del 10 al 17 de abril de 2026?

<5 41%

5-9 31%

10-14 29%

15-19 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5 41%

5-9 31%

10-14 29%

15-19 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5

$42 Vol.

41%

5-9

$7 Vol.

31%

10-14

$7 Vol.

29%

15-19

$7 Vol.

26%

20-24

$7 Vol.

26%

25-29

$7 Vol.

23%

30-34

$12 Vol.

24%

35-39

$32 Vol.

20%

40-44

$47 Vol.

19%

45-49

$70 Vol.

13%

50-54

$70 Vol.

14%

55-59

$116 Vol.

16%

60+

$269 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during April 10–17, reflecting a slowdown to about 5 posts in early April after 10–14 the prior week (March 31–April 7), as the office shares archival statements from the martyred Leader amid Iran's leadership transition. The tight race among low-volume bins stems from the account's irregular schedule—roughly 1 post every 1–2 days without predictable triggers—leaving uncertainty over office priorities post-February 28 martyrdom. A surge could arise from regional escalations, like Resistance Front actions in Yemen or Lebanon, or formal succession announcements by the Assembly of Experts; conversely, prolonged quiet might signal reduced activity under interim arrangements.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$694
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during April 10–17, reflecting a slowdown to about 5 posts in early April after 10–14 the prior week (March 31–April 7), as the office shares archival statements from the martyred Leader amid Iran's leadership transition. The tight race among low-volume bins stems from the account's irregular schedule—roughly 1 post every 1–2 days without predictable triggers—leaving uncertainty over office priorities post-February 28 martyrdom. A surge could arise from regional escalations, like Resistance Front actions in Yemen or Lebanon, or formal succession announcements by the Assembly of Experts; conversely, prolonged quiet might signal reduced activity under interim arrangements.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$694
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 10 al 17 de abril de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5" con 41%, seguido de "5-9" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Khamenei # publica del 10 al 17 de abril de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 7, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 10 al 17 de abril de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 10 al 17 de abril de 2026?" es "<5" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5-9" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 10 al 17 de abril de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.