Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for US flight delays on April 12, with all outcome bins priced equally amid volatile spring weather patterns and fading Easter travel peaks. Recent days saw elevated disruptions, including over 5,600 delays on April 4 due to severe thunderstorms across major hubs like Atlanta and Chicago, alongside hundreds of cancellations, per FlightAware data—figures that resolved prior Polymarket tallies in the 5,500-7,000 range. Today's FAA report flags potential thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at Boston, Philadelphia, Denver, and Minneapolis, sustaining caution. Refined NOAA forecasts or emerging ground delay programs at key airports could tip odds toward higher bins if storms intensify, or lower ones with clear skies and normalized air traffic control operations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of US Flights Delayed April 12?
Number of US Flights Delayed April 12?
<4,000 24%
4,000-4,500 24%
4,500-5,000 24%
5,000-5,500 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 abr 2026
<4,000
24%
4,000-4,500
24%
4,500-5,000
24%
5,000-5,500
24%
5,500-6,000
24%
6,000-6,500
24%
6,500-7,000
24%
>7,000
24%
<4,000 24%
4,000-4,500 24%
4,500-5,000 24%
5,000-5,500 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 abr 2026
<4,000
$0 Vol.
24%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
24%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
24%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
24%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
24%
6,000-6,500
$0 Vol.
24%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
24%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for US flight delays on April 12, with all outcome bins priced equally amid volatile spring weather patterns and fading Easter travel peaks. Recent days saw elevated disruptions, including over 5,600 delays on April 4 due to severe thunderstorms across major hubs like Atlanta and Chicago, alongside hundreds of cancellations, per FlightAware data—figures that resolved prior Polymarket tallies in the 5,500-7,000 range. Today's FAA report flags potential thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at Boston, Philadelphia, Denver, and Minneapolis, sustaining caution. Refined NOAA forecasts or emerging ground delay programs at key airports could tip odds toward higher bins if storms intensify, or lower ones with clear skies and normalized air traffic control operations.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for US flight delays on April 12, with all outcome bins priced equally amid volatile spring weather patterns and fading Easter travel peaks. Recent days saw elevated disruptions, including over 5,600 delays on April 4 due to severe thunderstorms across major hubs like Atlanta and Chicago, alongside hundreds of cancellations, per FlightAware data—figures that resolved prior Polymarket tallies in the 5,500-7,000 range. Today's FAA report flags potential thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at Boston, Philadelphia, Denver, and Minneapolis, sustaining caution. Refined NOAA forecasts or emerging ground delay programs at key airports could tip odds toward higher bins if storms intensify, or lower ones with clear skies and normalized air traffic control operations.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for US flight delays on April 12, with all outcome bins priced equally amid volatile spring weather patterns and fading Easter travel peaks. Recent days saw elevated disruptions, including over 5,600 delays on April 4 due to severe thunderstorms across major hubs like Atlanta and Chicago, alongside hundreds of cancellations, per FlightAware data—figures that resolved prior Polymarket tallies in the 5,500-7,000 range. Today's FAA report flags potential thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at Boston, Philadelphia, Denver, and Minneapolis, sustaining caution. Refined NOAA forecasts or emerging ground delay programs at key airports could tip odds toward higher bins if storms intensify, or lower ones with clear skies and normalized air traffic control operations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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