Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 US flight delays for April 9, reflecting FlightAware's mid-day tally of roughly 4,100 delays amid moderate disruptions at key hubs like Miami (MIA, 45-minute departure delays decreasing), Fort Lauderdale (FLL, 30 minutes increasing), and Philadelphia (PHL, 40 minutes). FAA warnings for afternoon thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds across Boston (BOS), New York-area airports, and others sustain elevated volumes following Easter week's peaks above 5,000, while post-holiday normalization tempers extremes. The narrow spread persists as the day unfolds, with potential storm escalation at high-traffic Southeast airports pushing toward 5,000+ or quicker dissipation holding below 4,500; real-time FAA NAS status and FlightAware updates will likely decide separation by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of US Flights Delayed April 9?
Number of US Flights Delayed April 9?
3,000-3,500 72%
4,500-5,000 48%
5,000-5,500 45%
5,500-6,000 43%
$222 Vol.
$222 Vol.
9 abr 2026
<3,000
33%
3,000-3,500
72%
3,500-4,000
40%
4,000-4,500
38%
4,500-5,000
48%
5,000-5,500
45%
5,500-6,000
43%
>6,000
39%
3,000-3,500 72%
4,500-5,000 48%
5,000-5,500 45%
5,500-6,000 43%
$222 Vol.
$222 Vol.
9 abr 2026
<3,000
$0 Vol.
33%
3,000-3,500
$122 Vol.
72%
3,500-4,000
$100 Vol.
40%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
38%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
48%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
45%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
43%
>6,000
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 US flight delays for April 9, reflecting FlightAware's mid-day tally of roughly 4,100 delays amid moderate disruptions at key hubs like Miami (MIA, 45-minute departure delays decreasing), Fort Lauderdale (FLL, 30 minutes increasing), and Philadelphia (PHL, 40 minutes). FAA warnings for afternoon thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds across Boston (BOS), New York-area airports, and others sustain elevated volumes following Easter week's peaks above 5,000, while post-holiday normalization tempers extremes. The narrow spread persists as the day unfolds, with potential storm escalation at high-traffic Southeast airports pushing toward 5,000+ or quicker dissipation holding below 4,500; real-time FAA NAS status and FlightAware updates will likely decide separation by evening.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Volumen
$222Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:38 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 US flight delays for April 9, reflecting FlightAware's mid-day tally of roughly 4,100 delays amid moderate disruptions at key hubs like Miami (MIA, 45-minute departure delays decreasing), Fort Lauderdale (FLL, 30 minutes increasing), and Philadelphia (PHL, 40 minutes). FAA warnings for afternoon thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds across Boston (BOS), New York-area airports, and others sustain elevated volumes following Easter week's peaks above 5,000, while post-holiday normalization tempers extremes. The narrow spread persists as the day unfolds, with potential storm escalation at high-traffic Southeast airports pushing toward 5,000+ or quicker dissipation holding below 4,500; real-time FAA NAS status and FlightAware updates will likely decide separation by evening.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$222Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:38 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 US flight delays for April 9, reflecting FlightAware's mid-day tally of roughly 4,100 delays amid moderate disruptions at key hubs like Miami (MIA, 45-minute departure delays decreasing), Fort Lauderdale (FLL, 30 minutes increasing), and Philadelphia (PHL, 40 minutes). FAA warnings for afternoon thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds across Boston (BOS), New York-area airports, and others sustain elevated volumes following Easter week's peaks above 5,000, while post-holiday normalization tempers extremes. The narrow spread persists as the day unfolds, with potential storm escalation at high-traffic Southeast airports pushing toward 5,000+ or quicker dissipation holding below 4,500; real-time FAA NAS status and FlightAware updates will likely decide separation by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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