Virginia voters approved the redistricting referendum constitutional amendment in the April 21, 2026, special election by a 51.7% to 48.3% margin—3.4 percentage points—aligning precisely with trader consensus on a 3-6% pass victory and reflecting pre-election polls showing slim Yes leads around 52-47 amid high turnout exceeding 3 million ballots. Strong Democratic performance in Northern Virginia suburbs offset Republican strength in rural areas and Southside, consistent with 2025 gubernatorial results. The Supreme Court of Virginia's 4-3 ruling today nullifying the referendum for procedural flaws preserves current 6-5 Democratic congressional maps but leaves the recorded vote margin intact for market resolution. Late provisional ballot adjustments or rare recounts represent minimal remaining risks to this outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoReferéndum de redistribución de distritos de Virginia: margen de victoria
Referéndum de redistribución de distritos de Virginia: margen de victoria
Aprobar 3-6% 100.0%
Aprobar 15%+ <1%
Aprobar 12-15% <1%
Aprobar 9-12% <1%
$646,908 Vol.
$646,908 Vol.
21 abr 2026
Aprobar 15%+
No
Aprobar 12-15%
No
Aprobar 9-12%
No
Aprobar 6-9%
No
Aprobar 3-6%
Sí
Aprobar <3%
No
No aprobar
No
Aprobar 3-6% 100.0%
Aprobar 15%+ <1%
Aprobar 12-15% <1%
Aprobar 9-12% <1%
$646,908 Vol.
$646,908 Vol.
21 abr 2026
Aprobar 15%+
$17,389 Vol.
No
Aprobar 12-15%
$22,315 Vol.
No
Aprobar 9-12%
$45,358 Vol.
No
Aprobar 6-9%
$84,095 Vol.
No
Aprobar 3-6%
$258,160 Vol.
Sí
Aprobar <3%
$178,296 Vol.
No
No aprobar
$41,295 Vol.
No
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Virginia voters approved the redistricting referendum constitutional amendment in the April 21, 2026, special election by a 51.7% to 48.3% margin—3.4 percentage points—aligning precisely with trader consensus on a 3-6% pass victory and reflecting pre-election polls showing slim Yes leads around 52-47 amid high turnout exceeding 3 million ballots. Strong Democratic performance in Northern Virginia suburbs offset Republican strength in rural areas and Southside, consistent with 2025 gubernatorial results. The Supreme Court of Virginia's 4-3 ruling today nullifying the referendum for procedural flaws preserves current 6-5 Democratic congressional maps but leaves the recorded vote margin intact for market resolution. Late provisional ballot adjustments or rare recounts represent minimal remaining risks to this outcome.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$646,908Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Virginia voters approved the redistricting referendum constitutional amendment in the April 21, 2026, special election by a 51.7% to 48.3% margin—3.4 percentage points—aligning precisely with trader consensus on a 3-6% pass victory and reflecting pre-election polls showing slim Yes leads around 52-47 amid high turnout exceeding 3 million ballots. Strong Democratic performance in Northern Virginia suburbs offset Republican strength in rural areas and Southside, consistent with 2025 gubernatorial results. The Supreme Court of Virginia's 4-3 ruling today nullifying the referendum for procedural flaws preserves current 6-5 Democratic congressional maps but leaves the recorded vote margin intact for market resolution. Late provisional ballot adjustments or rare recounts represent minimal remaining risks to this outcome.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026, over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes cast in this referendum.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the “Yes” option and the “No” option in this referendum. Percentages of valid votes for each option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid “Yes” or “No” votes by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the number of valid “Yes” and valid “No” votes is exactly equal, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason, the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No Pass”.
If the referendum vote is definitively canceled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No Pass”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote, according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
Volumen
$646,908Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Virginia voters approved the redistricting referendum constitutional amendment in the April 21, 2026, special election by a 51.7% to 48.3% margin—3.4 percentage points—aligning precisely with trader consensus on a 3-6% pass victory and reflecting pre-election polls showing slim Yes leads around 52-47 amid high turnout exceeding 3 million ballots. Strong Democratic performance in Northern Virginia suburbs offset Republican strength in rural areas and Southside, consistent with 2025 gubernatorial results. The Supreme Court of Virginia's 4-3 ruling today nullifying the referendum for procedural flaws preserves current 6-5 Democratic congressional maps but leaves the recorded vote margin intact for market resolution. Late provisional ballot adjustments or rare recounts represent minimal remaining risks to this outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes