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Política·Trump

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

20% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
20% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Tucker Carlson's explicit denial of presidential ambitions in a March 19 interview with The Economist—stating he "couldn't get elected to an empty congressional seat in an uncontested election"—has anchored trader consensus at 79% for "No" on an announcement by June 30. Absent any formal campaign filings, exploratory committee, or public signals of intent since then, his recent Tucker Carlson Network content focuses on interviewing gubernatorial candidates like Zach Lahn in Iowa and critiquing President Trump's Iran policy rather than personal candidacy. While speculation persists for a potential 2028 bid amid his anti-war positioning, the lack of momentum for nearer-term races keeps implied probabilities low, with skin-in-the-game traders prioritizing his direct disavowals over rumors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$2
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Tucker Carlson's explicit denial of presidential ambitions in a March 19 interview with The Economist—stating he "couldn't get elected to an empty congressional seat in an uncontested election"—has anchored trader consensus at 79% for "No" on an announcement by June 30. Absent any formal campaign filings, exploratory committee, or public signals of intent since then, his recent Tucker Carlson Network content focuses on interviewing gubernatorial candidates like Zach Lahn in Iowa and critiquing President Trump's Iran policy rather than personal candidacy. While speculation persists for a potential 2028 bid amid his anti-war positioning, the lack of momentum for nearer-term races keeps implied probabilities low, with skin-in-the-game traders prioritizing his direct disavowals over rumors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$2
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 20% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 20¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 20% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?" es 20% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 20% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.