Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 47.5% implied probability, anchored by his recent daily average of 25 posts in the April 9-10 tracking window per xtracker data, aligning with resolved markets like April 3-10's 240-259 total (roughly 30 per day). Absent major catalysts—no Tesla earnings until April 22 or high-stakes political drama—this moderate pace reflects his baseline engagement during quieter weekends, up from normal 8-12 posts but below heated news cycles. Routine SpaceX Starlink launches on April 11 and 13 may spark slight viral activity, yet traders see low upset risk to the 20-35 daily norm shaped by ongoing cultural scrutiny of his social media habits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado65-89 48%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
NUEVO
$167,310 Vol.
NUEVO
$167,310 Vol.
13 abr 2026
<40
2%
40-64
27%
65-89
48%
90-114
20%
115-139
5%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 48%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
NUEVO
$167,310 Vol.
NUEVO
$167,310 Vol.
13 abr 2026
<40
$15,795 Vol.
2%
40-64
$6,293 Vol.
27%
65-89
$10,328 Vol.
48%
90-114
$5,086 Vol.
20%
115-139
$11,568 Vol.
5%
140-164
$11,980 Vol.
1%
165-189
$21,706 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$12,156 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$25,526 Vol.
<1%
240+
$46,884 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 47.5% implied probability, anchored by his recent daily average of 25 posts in the April 9-10 tracking window per xtracker data, aligning with resolved markets like April 3-10's 240-259 total (roughly 30 per day). Absent major catalysts—no Tesla earnings until April 22 or high-stakes political drama—this moderate pace reflects his baseline engagement during quieter weekends, up from normal 8-12 posts but below heated news cycles. Routine SpaceX Starlink launches on April 11 and 13 may spark slight viral activity, yet traders see low upset risk to the 20-35 daily norm shaped by ongoing cultural scrutiny of his social media habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volumen
$167,310Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 47.5% implied probability, anchored by his recent daily average of 25 posts in the April 9-10 tracking window per xtracker data, aligning with resolved markets like April 3-10's 240-259 total (roughly 30 per day). Absent major catalysts—no Tesla earnings until April 22 or high-stakes political drama—this moderate pace reflects his baseline engagement during quieter weekends, up from normal 8-12 posts but below heated news cycles. Routine SpaceX Starlink launches on April 11 and 13 may spark slight viral activity, yet traders see low upset risk to the 20-35 daily norm shaped by ongoing cultural scrutiny of his social media habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$167,310Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 47.5% implied probability, anchored by his recent daily average of 25 posts in the April 9-10 tracking window per xtracker data, aligning with resolved markets like April 3-10's 240-259 total (roughly 30 per day). Absent major catalysts—no Tesla earnings until April 22 or high-stakes political drama—this moderate pace reflects his baseline engagement during quieter weekends, up from normal 8-12 posts but below heated news cycles. Routine SpaceX Starlink launches on April 11 and 13 may spark slight viral activity, yet traders see low upset risk to the 20-35 daily norm shaped by ongoing cultural scrutiny of his social media habits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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