Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume for April 17-24 at around 240-300 posts, tightly clustered across top bins like 260-279 (16.5% implied probability), 240-259 (15.5%), and 280-299 (14.5%), reflecting his recent high-frequency streak capped by 299 posts the prior week (April 7-14, averaging 43 daily). This competitive spread stems from a sharp slowdown in the last 48 hours to just a handful of posts amid quieter news cycles, versus historical spikes from viral SpaceX updates, xAI announcements, or political engagements that can push daily tallies past 50. Absent confirmed catalysts like Starlink launches or Tesla earnings, traders weigh rebound potential against sustained moderation in his pop culture commentary rhythm, with resolution hinging on real-time X activity tracking.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 15%
300-319 14%
$391,856 Vol.
$391,856 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
15%
300-319
14%
320-339
9%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
1%
260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 15%
300-319 14%
$391,856 Vol.
$391,856 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
15%
300-319
14%
320-339
9%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume for April 17-24 at around 240-300 posts, tightly clustered across top bins like 260-279 (16.5% implied probability), 240-259 (15.5%), and 280-299 (14.5%), reflecting his recent high-frequency streak capped by 299 posts the prior week (April 7-14, averaging 43 daily). This competitive spread stems from a sharp slowdown in the last 48 hours to just a handful of posts amid quieter news cycles, versus historical spikes from viral SpaceX updates, xAI announcements, or political engagements that can push daily tallies past 50. Absent confirmed catalysts like Starlink launches or Tesla earnings, traders weigh rebound potential against sustained moderation in his pop culture commentary rhythm, with resolution hinging on real-time X activity tracking.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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