Market icon

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Market icon

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

NUEVO

$32,965 Vol.

30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$32,965 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Joe Biden

$8,685 Vol.

94%

Market icon

Keir Starmer

$39 Vol.

63%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$1,311 Vol.

55%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$139 Vol.

49%

Market icon

Megyn Kelly

$0 Vol.

31%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$460 Vol.

29%

Market icon

Alex Jones

$1,134 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Pope Leo XIV

$1,331 Vol.

30%

Market icon

Pam Bondi

$203 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$334 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Viktor Orbán

$3,034 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$5,896 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Vladimir Putin

$1,169 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Xi Jinping

$4,073 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Melania Trump

$3,039 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$2,077 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Candace Owens

$47 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent escalation of personal attacks on Truth Social amid the Iran conflict has sharpened trader focus on his next targets before April 30. In the past week, he assailed Pope Leo XIV—posting a provocative image likening himself to Jesus—over the pontiff's calls for de-escalation and diplomacy, while unleashing insults like "stupid" and "losers" at conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, and Megyn Kelly opposing further airstrikes. This follows similar barbs at allies like French President Macron earlier in April. With ongoing congressional debates on war funding and potential diplomatic summits looming, traders weigh Trump's pattern of rapid responses to policy dissent as a key risk factor for additional public outbursts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$32,965
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent escalation of personal attacks on Truth Social amid the Iran conflict has sharpened trader focus on his next targets before April 30. In the past week, he assailed Pope Leo XIV—posting a provocative image likening himself to Jesus—over the pontiff's calls for de-escalation and diplomacy, while unleashing insults like "stupid" and "losers" at conservative critics including Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens, and Megyn Kelly opposing further airstrikes. This follows similar barbs at allies like French President Macron earlier in April. With ongoing congressional debates on war funding and potential diplomatic summits looming, traders weigh Trump's pattern of rapid responses to policy dissent as a key risk factor for additional public outbursts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$32,965
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Joe Biden" con 94%, seguido de "Keir Starmer" con 63%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" ha generado $33K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" es "Joe Biden" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Keir Starmer" con 63%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.