Following inconclusive direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12—the first high-level meeting since 1979, led by US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi alongside Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—diplomats are arranging a second round amid a strained two-week ceasefire and US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. No agreement was reached on nuclear enrichment suspension, IAEA inspections, or Hormuz shipping protocols, deepening mistrust. President Trump indicated resumption possibly within two days, with Pakistan and Turkey proposing to host. Traders should track delegation announcements, as continuity in key figures like Vance and Araghchi appears likely, alongside de-escalation signals or escalation risks from blockade enforcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
30 jun 2026
Donald Trump
5%
Marco Rubio
20%
J.D. Vance
85%
Jared Kushner
67%
Steve Witkoff
66%
$664 Vol.
Donald Trump
$600 Vol.
5%
Marco Rubio
$0 Vol.
20%
J.D. Vance
$136 Vol.
85%
Jared Kushner
$0 Vol.
67%
Steve Witkoff
$10 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following inconclusive direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12—the first high-level meeting since 1979, led by US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi alongside Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—diplomats are arranging a second round amid a strained two-week ceasefire and US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. No agreement was reached on nuclear enrichment suspension, IAEA inspections, or Hormuz shipping protocols, deepening mistrust. President Trump indicated resumption possibly within two days, with Pakistan and Turkey proposing to host. Traders should track delegation announcements, as continuity in key figures like Vance and Araghchi appears likely, alongside de-escalation signals or escalation risks from blockade enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volumen
$664Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following inconclusive direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12—the first high-level meeting since 1979, led by US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi alongside Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—diplomats are arranging a second round amid a strained two-week ceasefire and US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. No agreement was reached on nuclear enrichment suspension, IAEA inspections, or Hormuz shipping protocols, deepening mistrust. President Trump indicated resumption possibly within two days, with Pakistan and Turkey proposing to host. Traders should track delegation announcements, as continuity in key figures like Vance and Araghchi appears likely, alongside de-escalation signals or escalation risks from blockade enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$664Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following inconclusive direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12—the first high-level meeting since 1979, led by US Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi alongside Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf—diplomats are arranging a second round amid a strained two-week ceasefire and US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. No agreement was reached on nuclear enrichment suspension, IAEA inspections, or Hormuz shipping protocols, deepening mistrust. President Trump indicated resumption possibly within two days, with Pakistan and Turkey proposing to host. Traders should track delegation announcements, as continuity in key figures like Vance and Araghchi appears likely, alongside de-escalation signals or escalation risks from blockade enforcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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