President Trump's controversial Truth Social post on Easter Sunday, April 5, threatening Iran to "open the Strait of Hormuz" and ending with "Praise be to Allah," sparked the market amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions over oil shipping disruptions and recent pilot rescues. Traders price "No" at 65.5%, reflecting the phrase's apparent one-off use in that foreign policy rant—possibly sarcastic or referential—with no repetition in the 10 days since despite ongoing diplomatic pressures and strike threats by April 8. Absent new escalations like military actions or Strait blockades, the wisdom of crowds sees low odds of recurrence by April 30, though late-breaking executive statements could shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's controversial Truth Social post on Easter Sunday, April 5, threatening Iran to "open the Strait of Hormuz" and ending with "Praise be to Allah," sparked the market amid heightened U.S.-Iran tensions over oil shipping disruptions and recent pilot rescues. Traders price "No" at 65.5%, reflecting the phrase's apparent one-off use in that foreign policy rant—possibly sarcastic or referential—with no repetition in the 10 days since despite ongoing diplomatic pressures and strike threats by April 8. Absent new escalations like military actions or Strait blockades, the wisdom of crowds sees low odds of recurrence by April 30, though late-breaking executive statements could shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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