Rockstar Games’ firm November 19, 2026 console release target, set after the second official delay in late 2025, anchors trader confidence that no further postponement will occur. With the date now roughly three months away and no new earnings-call signals or credible reports of slippage emerging in 2026, the market-implied 89% probability for “No” reflects broad consensus that the studio is locked into polishing and launching the highly anticipated open-world title on schedule. Upcoming catalysts remain limited until Take-Two’s next financial update, but historical patterns show Rockstar rarely shifts dates this close to launch without prior public warning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$617,250 Vol.
$617,250 Vol.
Sí
$617,250 Vol.
$617,250 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Rockstar Games’ firm November 19, 2026 console release target, set after the second official delay in late 2025, anchors trader confidence that no further postponement will occur. With the date now roughly three months away and no new earnings-call signals or credible reports of slippage emerging in 2026, the market-implied 89% probability for “No” reflects broad consensus that the studio is locked into polishing and launching the highly anticipated open-world title on schedule. Upcoming catalysts remain limited until Take-Two’s next financial update, but historical patterns show Rockstar rarely shifts dates this close to launch without prior public warning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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