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¿La velocidad del viento más alta del monte Washington en agosto?

icon for ¿La velocidad del viento más alta del monte Washington en agosto?

¿La velocidad del viento más alta del monte Washington en agosto?

NUEVO
31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$300 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for ≥85 mph

≥85 mph

$108 Vol.

65%

icon for ≥90 mph

≥90 mph

$105 Vol.

62%

icon for ≥95 mph

≥95 mph

$87 Vol.

56%

icon for ≥100 mph

≥100 mph

$0 Vol.

52%

icon for ≥105 mph

≥105 mph

$0 Vol.

51%

icon for ≥110 mph

≥110 mph

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for ≥115 mph

≥115 mph

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington’s summit wind speeds in August are shaped primarily by the passage of mid-latitude cyclones and any Atlantic tropical systems whose remnants track near the Northeast, with orographic acceleration often boosting gusts on the exposed 6,288-foot peak. August remains climatologically one of the calmer months, with a long-term mean around 24.5 mph and a historical maximum gust of 147 mph; early August 2026 observations from the Mount Washington Observatory show only light winds of 5–15 mph. Trader-implied probabilities currently favor a monthly peak of at least 85 mph, reflecting the typical arrival of one or two stronger frontal systems later in the month. Continued monitoring of National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center forecasts through mid-August will be the key driver of any near-term shifts in market odds.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$300
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington’s summit wind speeds in August are shaped primarily by the passage of mid-latitude cyclones and any Atlantic tropical systems whose remnants track near the Northeast, with orographic acceleration often boosting gusts on the exposed 6,288-foot peak. August remains climatologically one of the calmer months, with a long-term mean around 24.5 mph and a historical maximum gust of 147 mph; early August 2026 observations from the Mount Washington Observatory show only light winds of 5–15 mph. Trader-implied probabilities currently favor a monthly peak of at least 85 mph, reflecting the typical arrival of one or two stronger frontal systems later in the month. Continued monitoring of National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center forecasts through mid-August will be the key driver of any near-term shifts in market odds.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$300
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La velocidad del viento más alta del monte Washington en agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "≥85 mph" con 65%, seguido de "≥90 mph" con 62%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 65¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La velocidad del viento más alta del monte Washington en agosto?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La velocidad del viento más alta del monte Washington en agosto?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La velocidad del viento más alta del monte Washington en agosto?" es "≥85 mph" con 65%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 65% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "≥90 mph" con 62%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La velocidad del viento más alta del monte Washington en agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.