Persistent heat wave conditions driven by the North Pacific High continue to influence southeastern Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining heat wave emergency warnings for Busan as of early August. Recent confirmation of a 39°C peak on August 1 has elevated trader focus on whether similar intensity persists into August 4 or yields to moderating coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover that often cap daily maxima near 33–36°C. Model consensus points to highs in this narrow range, with differentiation hinging on exact timing of any frontal passage or localized wind shifts that could prevent or enable brief spikes above 35°C. Updated KMA short-range guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the implied probabilities clustered around 34–35°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Busan el 4 de agosto?
34°C 35%
35°C 30%
33°C 18%
36°C 16%
31°C or below
7%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
35%
35°C
30%
36°C
16%
37°C
3%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C o más
<1%
34°C 35%
35°C 30%
33°C 18%
36°C 16%
31°C or below
7%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
35%
35°C
30%
36°C
16%
37°C
3%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat wave conditions driven by the North Pacific High continue to influence southeastern Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration maintaining heat wave emergency warnings for Busan as of early August. Recent confirmation of a 39°C peak on August 1 has elevated trader focus on whether similar intensity persists into August 4 or yields to moderating coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover that often cap daily maxima near 33–36°C. Model consensus points to highs in this narrow range, with differentiation hinging on exact timing of any frontal passage or localized wind shifts that could prevent or enable brief spikes above 35°C. Updated KMA short-range guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the implied probabilities clustered around 34–35°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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