Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm southerly flow under high pressure, supporting daily maxima near 31–32°C in Munich on August 2, with limited cloud cover and light winds aiding daytime heating. Slight model spread arises from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact ridge positioning, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 30–33°C outcomes. Historical August climatology in the region averages 24–25°C highs, so current guidance reflects an above-normal but not extreme anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model runs for any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or frontal timing ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 2 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 2 de agosto?
32°C 34%
31°C 33%
30°C 22%
33°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
22%
31°C
33%
32°C
34%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 33%
30°C 22%
33°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$276 Vol.
33%
32°C
$0 Vol.
34%
33°C
$22 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$10 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm southerly flow under high pressure, supporting daily maxima near 31–32°C in Munich on August 2, with limited cloud cover and light winds aiding daytime heating. Slight model spread arises from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact ridge positioning, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 30–33°C outcomes. Historical August climatology in the region averages 24–25°C highs, so current guidance reflects an above-normal but not extreme anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model runs for any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or frontal timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$328Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm southerly flow under high pressure, supporting daily maxima near 31–32°C in Munich on August 2, with limited cloud cover and light winds aiding daytime heating. Slight model spread arises from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact ridge positioning, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 30–33°C outcomes. Historical August climatology in the region averages 24–25°C highs, so current guidance reflects an above-normal but not extreme anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model runs for any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or frontal timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$328Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a warm southerly flow under high pressure, supporting daily maxima near 31–32°C in Munich on August 2, with limited cloud cover and light winds aiding daytime heating. Slight model spread arises from minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and exact ridge positioning, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 30–33°C outcomes. Historical August climatology in the region averages 24–25°C highs, so current guidance reflects an above-normal but not extreme anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model runs for any shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or frontal timing ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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