Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 31 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 31 de julio?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F o menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,189 Vol.
$81,189 Vol.
31 jul 2026
71°F o menos
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Sí
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F o más
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F o menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,189 Vol.
$81,189 Vol.
31 jul 2026
71°F o menos
$719 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$5,487 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$6,941 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$11,530 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$19,272 Vol.
Sí
80-81°F
$12,201 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$9,238 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$5,488 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,027 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$3,321 Vol.
No
90°F o más
$3,965 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volumen
$81,189Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$81,189Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes