Trader consensus favors a 24–25°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 3, with implied probabilities of 35.5% and 41.0% respectively, reflecting uncertainty between two closely spaced outcomes. Recent ensemble guidance highlights increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the prevailing monsoon trough, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep temperatures near or slightly below the 27°C August climatological average. Differentiating factors include variable wind speeds from the South China Sea that enhance mixing versus periods of lighter flow allowing modest drops, alongside urban heat-island effects that typically buffer extremes. Official Hong Kong Observatory updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
26°C 10%
23°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C
10%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
26°C 10%
23°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$97 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$40 Vol.
2%
23°C
$132 Vol.
11%
24°C
$133 Vol.
36%
25°C
$842 Vol.
43%
26°C
$66 Vol.
10%
27°C
$82 Vol.
7%
28°C
$285 Vol.
2%
29°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
31°C o más
$23 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a 24–25°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 3, with implied probabilities of 35.5% and 41.0% respectively, reflecting uncertainty between two closely spaced outcomes. Recent ensemble guidance highlights increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the prevailing monsoon trough, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep temperatures near or slightly below the 27°C August climatological average. Differentiating factors include variable wind speeds from the South China Sea that enhance mixing versus periods of lighter flow allowing modest drops, alongside urban heat-island effects that typically buffer extremes. Official Hong Kong Observatory updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,825Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a 24–25°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 3, with implied probabilities of 35.5% and 41.0% respectively, reflecting uncertainty between two closely spaced outcomes. Recent ensemble guidance highlights increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the prevailing monsoon trough, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep temperatures near or slightly below the 27°C August climatological average. Differentiating factors include variable wind speeds from the South China Sea that enhance mixing versus periods of lighter flow allowing modest drops, alongside urban heat-island effects that typically buffer extremes. Official Hong Kong Observatory updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,825Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 24–25°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 3, with implied probabilities of 35.5% and 41.0% respectively, reflecting uncertainty between two closely spaced outcomes. Recent ensemble guidance highlights increased cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the prevailing monsoon trough, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep temperatures near or slightly below the 27°C August climatological average. Differentiating factors include variable wind speeds from the South China Sea that enhance mixing versus periods of lighter flow allowing modest drops, alongside urban heat-island effects that typically buffer extremes. Official Hong Kong Observatory updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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