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icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 3 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 3 de agosto?

icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 3 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 3 de agosto?

21°C 27%

22°C 24%

23°C 21%

20°C 15%

Polymarket
NUEVO

21°C 27%

22°C 24%

23°C 21%

20°C 15%

Polymarket
NUEVO

16°C or below

$10 Vol.

2%

17°C

$26 Vol.

2%

18°C

$31 Vol.

4%

19°C

$46 Vol.

8%

20°C

$45 Vol.

15%

21°C

$95 Vol.

27%

22°C

$35 Vol.

24%

23°C

$205 Vol.

21%

24°C

$27 Vol.

6%

25°C

$20 Vol.

3%

26°C or higher

$60 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological outlooks indicate a fine, partly cloudy pattern with light to moderate southerly winds for Cape Town on August 3, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C amid typical winter conditions in the city's Mediterranean climate. This aligns with climatological averages of 17–18°C highs for early August, where Atlantic Ocean moderation and Table Mountain's orographic effects limit extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around 21–23°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and wind shifts, with limited recent warming trends or blocking highs to push values higher. Official guidance from South African weather services emphasizes stable conditions without significant frontal systems, keeping lower outcomes (below 19°C) at reduced implied probabilities while capping upside beyond 24°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow ranges.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$600
Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological outlooks indicate a fine, partly cloudy pattern with light to moderate southerly winds for Cape Town on August 3, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C amid typical winter conditions in the city's Mediterranean climate. This aligns with climatological averages of 17–18°C highs for early August, where Atlantic Ocean moderation and Table Mountain's orographic effects limit extremes. Trader sentiment clusters around 21–23°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in peak afternoon heating under variable cloud cover and wind shifts, with limited recent warming trends or blocking highs to push values higher. Official guidance from South African weather services emphasizes stable conditions without significant frontal systems, keeping lower outcomes (below 19°C) at reduced implied probabilities while capping upside beyond 24°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow ranges.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$600
Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 3 de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "21°C" con 27%, seguido de "22°C" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 3 de agosto?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 3 de agosto?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 3 de agosto?" es "21°C" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "22°C" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 3 de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.