Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 3 de agosto?
32°C 46%
31°C 28%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
28%
32°C
39%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C o más
<1%
32°C 46%
31°C 28%
30°C 14%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
27°C o menos
$20 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$132 Vol.
2%
29°C
$153 Vol.
4%
30°C
$268 Vol.
14%
31°C
$178 Vol.
28%
32°C
$382 Vol.
39%
33°C
$991 Vol.
14%
34°C
$152 Vol.
7%
35°C
$135 Vol.
4%
36°C
$116 Vol.
1%
37°C o más
$106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$2,633Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,633Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from major models show a warm southerly flow and building high pressure favoring clear skies over the Netherlands, supporting daily maximums near 30–32 °C in Amsterdam on August 3—well above the long-term August average of ~22 °C. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact boundary-layer mixing, timing of any thin high cloud, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which control whether the peak reaches 31 °C or edges toward 32 °C. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs remain closely clustered without strong consensus on a cooler marine influence, leaving traders pricing modest uncertainty around these leading bins as new model cycles approach.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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