Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C for Paris on August 2 amid a developing heatwave driven by high-pressure systems, though potential shifts in air masses could introduce cooler conditions or storms. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, while Météo-France updates highlight above-normal warmth with noted divergence in ensemble runs regarding overnight cooling. This uncertainty underpins trader positioning around 14–16°C outcomes, as new model iterations and official bulletins over the next 48 hours could refine landfall-like steering patterns or temperature thresholds. Real-money consensus aggregates these evolving atmospheric variables into the observed implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 2 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 2 de agosto?
16°C 50%
17°C 27%
15°C 21%
14°C o menos 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
14°C o menos
19%
15°C
21%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C o más
<1%
16°C 50%
17°C 27%
15°C 21%
14°C o menos 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
14°C o menos
$95 Vol.
19%
15°C
$20 Vol.
21%
16°C
$20 Vol.
50%
17°C
$20 Vol.
27%
18°C
$15 Vol.
5%
19°C
$21 Vol.
2%
20°C
$26 Vol.
10%
21°C
$11 Vol.
9%
22°C
$10 Vol.
3%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C o más
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C for Paris on August 2 amid a developing heatwave driven by high-pressure systems, though potential shifts in air masses could introduce cooler conditions or storms. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, while Météo-France updates highlight above-normal warmth with noted divergence in ensemble runs regarding overnight cooling. This uncertainty underpins trader positioning around 14–16°C outcomes, as new model iterations and official bulletins over the next 48 hours could refine landfall-like steering patterns or temperature thresholds. Real-money consensus aggregates these evolving atmospheric variables into the observed implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$258Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C for Paris on August 2 amid a developing heatwave driven by high-pressure systems, though potential shifts in air masses could introduce cooler conditions or storms. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, while Météo-France updates highlight above-normal warmth with noted divergence in ensemble runs regarding overnight cooling. This uncertainty underpins trader positioning around 14–16°C outcomes, as new model iterations and official bulletins over the next 48 hours could refine landfall-like steering patterns or temperature thresholds. Real-money consensus aggregates these evolving atmospheric variables into the observed implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$258Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures near 16°C for Paris on August 2 amid a developing heatwave driven by high-pressure systems, though potential shifts in air masses could introduce cooler conditions or storms. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing climatological context, while Météo-France updates highlight above-normal warmth with noted divergence in ensemble runs regarding overnight cooling. This uncertainty underpins trader positioning around 14–16°C outcomes, as new model iterations and official bulletins over the next 48 hours could refine landfall-like steering patterns or temperature thresholds. Real-money consensus aggregates these evolving atmospheric variables into the observed implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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