Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and World Weather Online point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with climatological norms, where early August highs average 28–29°C based on long-term records, with recent late-July observations showing similar stable conditions around 28–30°C. Uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from minor model spread on exact timing of any diurnal peaks or localized sea-breeze moderation, rather than major synoptic shifts. No heatwave or cooling front is indicated in the short-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these central values.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 2 de agosto?
28°C 39%
27°C 36%
26°C 20%
29°C 19%
23°C o menos
1%
24°C
13%
25°C
16%
26°C
20%
27°C
36%
28°C
39%
29°C
19%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
2%
28°C 39%
27°C 36%
26°C 20%
29°C 19%
23°C o menos
1%
24°C
13%
25°C
16%
26°C
20%
27°C
36%
28°C
39%
29°C
19%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and World Weather Online point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's Mediterranean summer regime. This aligns with climatological norms, where early August highs average 28–29°C based on long-term records, with recent late-July observations showing similar stable conditions around 28–30°C. Uncertainty between 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from minor model spread on exact timing of any diurnal peaks or localized sea-breeze moderation, rather than major synoptic shifts. No heatwave or cooling front is indicated in the short-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these central values.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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