Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24–25°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal seasonal temperatures. Current long-range guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with possible showers around August 2, which could modestly suppress the minimum through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most likely range at 24–26°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity limit downward deviations, while model spread in steering patterns and local wind introduces the narrow probability bands traders have priced. Updated short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 2 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 2 de agosto?
25°C 50%
26°C 33%
24°C 19%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
20°C o menos
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
50%
26°C
33%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C o más
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 33%
24°C 19%
22°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$10 Vol.
2%
21°C
$80 Vol.
1%
22°C
$25 Vol.
5%
23°C
$52 Vol.
3%
24°C
$76 Vol.
19%
25°C
$61 Vol.
50%
26°C
$155 Vol.
33%
27°C
$27 Vol.
1%
28°C
$23 Vol.
4%
29°C
$75 Vol.
1%
30°C o más
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24–25°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal seasonal temperatures. Current long-range guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with possible showers around August 2, which could modestly suppress the minimum through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most likely range at 24–26°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity limit downward deviations, while model spread in steering patterns and local wind introduces the narrow probability bands traders have priced. Updated short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$622Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24–25°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal seasonal temperatures. Current long-range guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with possible showers around August 2, which could modestly suppress the minimum through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most likely range at 24–26°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity limit downward deviations, while model spread in steering patterns and local wind introduces the narrow probability bands traders have priced. Updated short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$622Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Typical August overnight lows in Tokyo hover near 24–25°C under the influence of a strengthened Pacific High driving above-normal seasonal temperatures. Current long-range guidance points to partly cloudy conditions with possible showers around August 2, which could modestly suppress the minimum through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, keeping the most likely range at 24–26°C. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity limit downward deviations, while model spread in steering patterns and local wind introduces the narrow probability bands traders have priced. Updated short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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