Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 16-18°C amid mild westerly airflow from the North Atlantic. KNMI's latest outlook calls for a maximum near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the North Sea. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon insolation—deterministic runs hint at 18-19°C if sun prevails, while cooler outliers account for 13-15°C if showers intensify. Mid-April climatology averages 13-15°C, but this warmer setup boosts higher outcomes; watch April 15 model updates for resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
16°C 40%
15°C 23%
17°C 17%
18°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
7%
15°C
23%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
14%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 40%
15°C 23%
17°C 17%
18°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
10°C or below
$220 Vol.
1%
11°C
$231 Vol.
1%
12°C
$213 Vol.
1%
13°C
$221 Vol.
4%
14°C
$40 Vol.
7%
15°C
$20 Vol.
23%
16°C
$21 Vol.
40%
17°C
$20 Vol.
22%
18°C
$216 Vol.
14%
19°C
$372 Vol.
3%
20°C or higher
$271 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 16-18°C amid mild westerly airflow from the North Atlantic. KNMI's latest outlook calls for a maximum near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the North Sea. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon insolation—deterministic runs hint at 18-19°C if sun prevails, while cooler outliers account for 13-15°C if showers intensify. Mid-April climatology averages 13-15°C, but this warmer setup boosts higher outcomes; watch April 15 model updates for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volumen
$1,844Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 16-18°C amid mild westerly airflow from the North Atlantic. KNMI's latest outlook calls for a maximum near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the North Sea. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon insolation—deterministic runs hint at 18-19°C if sun prevails, while cooler outliers account for 13-15°C if showers intensify. Mid-April climatology averages 13-15°C, but this warmer setup boosts higher outcomes; watch April 15 model updates for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,844Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 16, with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 16-18°C amid mild westerly airflow from the North Atlantic. KNMI's latest outlook calls for a maximum near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers possible, potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover and sea breeze moderation from the North Sea. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon insolation—deterministic runs hint at 18-19°C if sun prevails, while cooler outliers account for 13-15°C if showers intensify. Mid-April climatology averages 13-15°C, but this warmer setup boosts higher outcomes; watch April 15 model updates for resolution clarity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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