Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on July 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 4?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$92,681 Vol.
$92,681 Vol.
4 jul 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$92,681 Vol.
$92,681 Vol.
4 jul 2026
26°C or below
$6,238 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,445 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,008 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,226 Vol.
No
30°C
$24,016 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$7,517 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,421 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,448 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,265 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,369 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$4,728 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$92,681Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$92,681Fecha de finalización
4 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Ankara highs near 30–31 °C on July 4, 2026, under typical early-July anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. The dispersed market distribution reflects substantial ensemble spread in numerical weather prediction outputs, driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and possible subtle shifts in the subtropical ridge or incoming Atlantic trough. Key variables include the strength of downslope warming from surrounding plateaus, daytime insolation duration, and any late-day convective inhibition; a stronger high-pressure cell would favor the 31–32 °C outcomes, while enhanced northerly flow or increased humidity could cap readings at 29 °C or below. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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