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Highest temperature in Austin on June 27?

icon for Highest temperature in Austin on June 27?

Highest temperature in Austin on June 27?

94-95°F 100.0%

91°F or below <1%

92-93°F <1%

96-97°F <1%

Polymarket

$59,866 Vol.

94-95°F 100.0%

91°F or below <1%

92-93°F <1%

96-97°F <1%

Polymarket

$59,866 Vol.

91°F or below

$24,186 Vol.

No

92-93°F

$8,928 Vol.

No

94-95°F

$6,693 Vol.

Yes

96-97°F

$5,333 Vol.

No

98-99°F

$4,523 Vol.

No

100-101°F

$1,625 Vol.

No

102-103°F

$1,925 Vol.

No

104-105°F

$4,318 Vol.

No

106-107°F

$658 Vol.

No

108-109°F

$704 Vol.

No

110°F or higher

$974 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$59,866
Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$59,866
Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Austin on June 27?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "94-95°F" con 100%, seguido de "91°F or below" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Austin on June 27?" ha generado $59.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Austin on June 27?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Austin on June 27?" es "94-95°F" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "91°F or below" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Austin on June 27?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.