Latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) project a maximum temperature near 24°C in Buenos Aires on April 16, fueling closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C (32.5%) and 25°C or higher (28.5%), reflecting trader consensus on mild uncertainty amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing in global models like GFS and ECMWF—favoring 25°C if sea breeze delays—or persistent overcast skies capping at 23°C, as seen in recent SMN guidance showing 10% rain chance. Following a mid-April heat spike to 36°C on the 13th and cooling trend, this aligns with above-normal autumn anomalies (+1°C monthly), with historical averages at 22°C; final SMN observations from Aeroparque station will resolve.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 16?
24°C 34%
25°C or higher 27%
23°C 21%
22°C 17%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
17%
23°C
21%
24°C
34%
25°C or higher
27%
24°C 34%
25°C or higher 27%
23°C 21%
22°C 17%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
17%
23°C
21%
24°C
34%
25°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) project a maximum temperature near 24°C in Buenos Aires on April 16, fueling closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C (32.5%) and 25°C or higher (28.5%), reflecting trader consensus on mild uncertainty amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing in global models like GFS and ECMWF—favoring 25°C if sea breeze delays—or persistent overcast skies capping at 23°C, as seen in recent SMN guidance showing 10% rain chance. Following a mid-April heat spike to 36°C on the 13th and cooling trend, this aligns with above-normal autumn anomalies (+1°C monthly), with historical averages at 22°C; final SMN observations from Aeroparque station will resolve.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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