Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among 26–28°C maxima for Buenos Aires on April 18, reflecting divergent short-range forecast models amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus highs around 27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and diurnal heating, boosted by April's +1°C temperature anomaly versus climatological norms of 22°C mid-month. Differentiating factors include precise timing of afternoon sea-breeze onset and potential cumulus cloud formation, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow urban heat to push higher. Neutral ENSO conditions sustain this mild warmth; watch SMN's April 17 update for refined guidance as resolution nears via official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
25°C 15%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
15%
26°C
22%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
25°C 15%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
15%
26°C
22%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among 26–28°C maxima for Buenos Aires on April 18, reflecting divergent short-range forecast models amid a warmer-than-normal autumn pattern. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus highs around 27°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and diurnal heating, boosted by April's +1°C temperature anomaly versus climatological norms of 22°C mid-month. Differentiating factors include precise timing of afternoon sea-breeze onset and potential cumulus cloud formation, which could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow urban heat to push higher. Neutral ENSO conditions sustain this mild warmth; watch SMN's April 17 update for refined guidance as resolution nears via official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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