The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
22°C 33%
20°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
15%
20°C
32%
21°C
30%
22°C
33%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
3%
22°C 33%
20°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
16°C or below
$67 Vol.
2%
17°C
$33 Vol.
2%
18°C
$47 Vol.
9%
19°C
$6 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
32%
21°C
$0 Vol.
30%
22°C
$0 Vol.
33%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C or higher
$19 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volumen
$173Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$173Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 15-16 highlights partly cloudy skies and cool to warm conditions with isolated to scattered showers across the Western Cape, anchoring trader-implied probabilities tightly around 17-20°C highs for Cape Town on April 16. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus—GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subdued peaks amid lingering autumnal cloudiness and mid-latitude trough influences that suppress diurnal heating. Key differentiators include shower coverage extent, which could limit maxima to 17°C under overcast persistence, versus partial clearing and weaker southerly sea breezes enabling 19-20°C; historical April averages near 23°C provide context for the downward bias. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists, with SAWS daily advisories and fresh model runs expected to refine trajectories ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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