Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 15–18°C following a strong cold front's landfall over the Western Cape on April 17, bringing rain, gusty northwest winds exceeding 40 km/h, and cooler post-frontal air masses. South African Weather Service forecasts partly cloudy skies with isolated showers persisting into the weekend, capping daytime heating under lingering cloud cover and southerly sea breezes that enhance coastal cooling. AccuWeather models align at a 17°C high amid 96% precipitation odds, but variability arises from frontal clearing speed—faster dissipation could push toward 18°C, while prolonged overcast favors 15°C or below. Fresh SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen differentiation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
15°C 22%
16°C 22%
17°C 22%
14°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
11%
14°C
15%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
15%
19°C
13%
20°C
8%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
6%
15°C 22%
16°C 22%
17°C 22%
14°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
12°C or below
$40 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 15–18°C following a strong cold front's landfall over the Western Cape on April 17, bringing rain, gusty northwest winds exceeding 40 km/h, and cooler post-frontal air masses. South African Weather Service forecasts partly cloudy skies with isolated showers persisting into the weekend, capping daytime heating under lingering cloud cover and southerly sea breezes that enhance coastal cooling. AccuWeather models align at a 17°C high amid 96% precipitation odds, but variability arises from frontal clearing speed—faster dissipation could push toward 18°C, while prolonged overcast favors 15°C or below. Fresh SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen differentiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$55Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 15–18°C following a strong cold front's landfall over the Western Cape on April 17, bringing rain, gusty northwest winds exceeding 40 km/h, and cooler post-frontal air masses. South African Weather Service forecasts partly cloudy skies with isolated showers persisting into the weekend, capping daytime heating under lingering cloud cover and southerly sea breezes that enhance coastal cooling. AccuWeather models align at a 17°C high amid 96% precipitation odds, but variability arises from frontal clearing speed—faster dissipation could push toward 18°C, while prolonged overcast favors 15°C or below. Fresh SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen differentiation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$55Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities clustered around 15–18°C following a strong cold front's landfall over the Western Cape on April 17, bringing rain, gusty northwest winds exceeding 40 km/h, and cooler post-frontal air masses. South African Weather Service forecasts partly cloudy skies with isolated showers persisting into the weekend, capping daytime heating under lingering cloud cover and southerly sea breezes that enhance coastal cooling. AccuWeather models align at a 17°C high amid 96% precipitation odds, but variability arises from frontal clearing speed—faster dissipation could push toward 18°C, while prolonged overcast favors 15°C or below. Fresh SAWS updates and ECMWF/GFS runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen differentiation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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