Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 74-75°F (26.5%) and 76-77°F (27.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting inherent spring forecast uncertainty amid model spread and potential cloud interference. The National Weather Service's latest guidance calls for partly sunny skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under southerly winds, aligned with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, but traders discount warmer outcomes due to a 10-20% chance of late-afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peak heating via increased cloud cover and precipitation. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-3°F divergence, with ECMWF leaning cooler; watch tonight's 00Z model runs and tomorrow's 12Z NWS update for shifts before resolution at DFW International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
NUEVO
$36,781 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,781 Vol.
18 abr 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 26%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
NUEVO
$36,781 Vol.
NUEVO
$36,781 Vol.
18 abr 2026
67°F or below
$11,016 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$4,475 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$1,840 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$1,633 Vol.
12%
74-75°F
$1,670 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$1,139 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$1,336 Vol.
18%
80-81°F
$1,774 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$2,461 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$2,992 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$6,453 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 74-75°F (26.5%) and 76-77°F (27.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting inherent spring forecast uncertainty amid model spread and potential cloud interference. The National Weather Service's latest guidance calls for partly sunny skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under southerly winds, aligned with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, but traders discount warmer outcomes due to a 10-20% chance of late-afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peak heating via increased cloud cover and precipitation. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-3°F divergence, with ECMWF leaning cooler; watch tonight's 00Z model runs and tomorrow's 12Z NWS update for shifts before resolution at DFW International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volumen
$36,781Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 74-75°F (26.5%) and 76-77°F (27.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting inherent spring forecast uncertainty amid model spread and potential cloud interference. The National Weather Service's latest guidance calls for partly sunny skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under southerly winds, aligned with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, but traders discount warmer outcomes due to a 10-20% chance of late-afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peak heating via increased cloud cover and precipitation. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-3°F divergence, with ECMWF leaning cooler; watch tonight's 00Z model runs and tomorrow's 12Z NWS update for shifts before resolution at DFW International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,781Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 74-75°F (26.5%) and 76-77°F (27.5%) for Dallas's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting inherent spring forecast uncertainty amid model spread and potential cloud interference. The National Weather Service's latest guidance calls for partly sunny skies with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s under southerly winds, aligned with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures, but traders discount warmer outcomes due to a 10-20% chance of late-afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peak heating via increased cloud cover and precipitation. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 2-3°F divergence, with ECMWF leaning cooler; watch tonight's 00Z model runs and tomorrow's 12Z NWS update for shifts before resolution at DFW International Airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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