Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a high of 29°C in Guangzhou on April 18 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds and high humidity capping peak heating, yet market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C (76% combined), reflecting trader consensus on potential partial clearing shown in ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs that allow for greater afternoon insolation. Recent above-normal warmth in Guangdong Province—monthly temperatures +3°C above the April climatological average of 26°C—supports upside risk, though persistent moisture from the South China Sea introduces variability in cloud cover and urban heat island effects at Baiyun Airport, the resolution site. Watch for morning soundings and hourly observations resolving mid-afternoon peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 18?
31°C 29%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
28°C or below
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
24%
31°C
29%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
28°C or below
$402 Vol.
10%
29°C
$108 Vol.
20%
30°C
$43 Vol.
24%
31°C
$83 Vol.
29%
32°C
$347 Vol.
24%
33°C
$201 Vol.
11%
34°C
$396 Vol.
2%
35°C
$3,003 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$913 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,091 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a high of 29°C in Guangzhou on April 18 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds and high humidity capping peak heating, yet market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C (76% combined), reflecting trader consensus on potential partial clearing shown in ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs that allow for greater afternoon insolation. Recent above-normal warmth in Guangdong Province—monthly temperatures +3°C above the April climatological average of 26°C—supports upside risk, though persistent moisture from the South China Sea introduces variability in cloud cover and urban heat island effects at Baiyun Airport, the resolution site. Watch for morning soundings and hourly observations resolving mid-afternoon peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ET
Volumen
$7,713Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a high of 29°C in Guangzhou on April 18 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds and high humidity capping peak heating, yet market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C (76% combined), reflecting trader consensus on potential partial clearing shown in ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs that allow for greater afternoon insolation. Recent above-normal warmth in Guangdong Province—monthly temperatures +3°C above the April climatological average of 26°C—supports upside risk, though persistent moisture from the South China Sea introduces variability in cloud cover and urban heat island effects at Baiyun Airport, the resolution site. Watch for morning soundings and hourly observations resolving mid-afternoon peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,713Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a high of 29°C in Guangzhou on April 18 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds and high humidity capping peak heating, yet market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 30–32°C (76% combined), reflecting trader consensus on potential partial clearing shown in ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs that allow for greater afternoon insolation. Recent above-normal warmth in Guangdong Province—monthly temperatures +3°C above the April climatological average of 26°C—supports upside risk, though persistent moisture from the South China Sea introduces variability in cloud cover and urban heat island effects at Baiyun Airport, the resolution site. Watch for morning soundings and hourly observations resolving mid-afternoon peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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