Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 2 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 2 de julio?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$323,712 Vol.
$323,712 Vol.
2 jul 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$323,712 Vol.
$323,712 Vol.
2 jul 2026
27°C or below
$7,760 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,468 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,442 Vol.
No
30°C
$29,566 Vol.
No
31°C
$54,412 Vol.
No
32°C
$63,586 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$77,280 Vol.
No
34°C
$43,071 Vol.
No
35°C
$15,916 Vol.
No
36°C
$9,262 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$6,949 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$323,712Fecha de finalización
2 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$323,712Fecha de finalización
2 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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