The Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 34.6°C at its headquarters on June 5, 2026, confirming the outcome within the 34°C market bin. This aligned with an ongoing early-summer heatwave driven by an anticyclone aloft and above-normal seasonal temperatures forecast for June–August under long-term climate warming trends. Official data show mean maximum temperatures reaching 33.0°C early in the month, consistent with the absolute maximum of 34.6°C noted through June 7. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the final verified observation, though minor variations in station-specific readings or rounding conventions could theoretically shift categorization in edge cases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$246,630 Vol.
$246,630 Vol.
5 jun 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$246,630 Vol.
$246,630 Vol.
5 jun 2026
26°C or below
$1,292 Vol.
No
27°C
$287 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,097 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,356 Vol.
No
30°C
$14,200 Vol.
No
31°C
$28,852 Vol.
No
32°C
$20,743 Vol.
No
33°C
$37,821 Vol.
No
34°C
$45,873 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$37,392 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$46,716 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 34.6°C at its headquarters on June 5, 2026, confirming the outcome within the 34°C market bin. This aligned with an ongoing early-summer heatwave driven by an anticyclone aloft and above-normal seasonal temperatures forecast for June–August under long-term climate warming trends. Official data show mean maximum temperatures reaching 33.0°C early in the month, consistent with the absolute maximum of 34.6°C noted through June 7. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the final verified observation, though minor variations in station-specific readings or rounding conventions could theoretically shift categorization in edge cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volumen
$246,630Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 34.6°C at its headquarters on June 5, 2026, confirming the outcome within the 34°C market bin. This aligned with an ongoing early-summer heatwave driven by an anticyclone aloft and above-normal seasonal temperatures forecast for June–August under long-term climate warming trends. Official data show mean maximum temperatures reaching 33.0°C early in the month, consistent with the absolute maximum of 34.6°C noted through June 7. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the final verified observation, though minor variations in station-specific readings or rounding conventions could theoretically shift categorization in edge cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$246,630Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 34.6°C at its headquarters on June 5, 2026, confirming the outcome within the 34°C market bin. This aligned with an ongoing early-summer heatwave driven by an anticyclone aloft and above-normal seasonal temperatures forecast for June–August under long-term climate warming trends. Official data show mean maximum temperatures reaching 33.0°C early in the month, consistent with the absolute maximum of 34.6°C noted through June 7. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the final verified observation, though minor variations in station-specific readings or rounding conventions could theoretically shift categorization in edge cases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes