Hong Kong Observatory's official intraday observations confirmed a maximum air temperature of 24.2°C at the HKO station on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome amid mainly cloudy skies and a lingering northeast monsoon that suppressed daytime heating. This reading, well below May's typical mean maximum of around 29°C, aligns with recent regional weather patterns featuring persistent cloud cover and moderate easterly winds, as noted in HKO's daily summaries. While final monthly data could theoretically reveal a minor station-specific revision—such as from King's Park calibration—such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established observations, solidifying the market's positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 6?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$361,513 Vol.
$361,513 Vol.
6 may 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$361,513 Vol.
$361,513 Vol.
6 may 2026
21°C or below
$3,503 Vol.
No
22°C
$12,455 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,725 Vol.
No
24°C
$105,968 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$62,427 Vol.
No
26°C
$64,820 Vol.
No
27°C
$53,230 Vol.
No
28°C
$28,335 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,110 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,804 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$2,135 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official intraday observations confirmed a maximum air temperature of 24.2°C at the HKO station on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome amid mainly cloudy skies and a lingering northeast monsoon that suppressed daytime heating. This reading, well below May's typical mean maximum of around 29°C, aligns with recent regional weather patterns featuring persistent cloud cover and moderate easterly winds, as noted in HKO's daily summaries. While final monthly data could theoretically reveal a minor station-specific revision—such as from King's Park calibration—such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established observations, solidifying the market's positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
Volumen
$361,513Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official intraday observations confirmed a maximum air temperature of 24.2°C at the HKO station on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome amid mainly cloudy skies and a lingering northeast monsoon that suppressed daytime heating. This reading, well below May's typical mean maximum of around 29°C, aligns with recent regional weather patterns featuring persistent cloud cover and moderate easterly winds, as noted in HKO's daily summaries. While final monthly data could theoretically reveal a minor station-specific revision—such as from King's Park calibration—such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established observations, solidifying the market's positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$361,513Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official intraday observations confirmed a maximum air temperature of 24.2°C at the HKO station on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 24°C outcome amid mainly cloudy skies and a lingering northeast monsoon that suppressed daytime heating. This reading, well below May's typical mean maximum of around 29°C, aligns with recent regional weather patterns featuring persistent cloud cover and moderate easterly winds, as noted in HKO's daily summaries. While final monthly data could theoretically reveal a minor station-specific revision—such as from King's Park calibration—such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established observations, solidifying the market's positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes