Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 82-84°F for Houston on April 18, with 44% odds for 84°F or higher leading due to persistent high pressure ridge overhead promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds fostering warm advection. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project highs in the low to mid-80s, consistent with recent observations of upper-70s to low-80s this week amid above-normal April temperatures (averaging 78-80°F historically). Low precipitation chances (under 20%) minimize cooling effects, though thin high clouds could cap peaks below 85°F. New forecast updates expected Thursday afternoon from NOAA may refine trajectories as the ridge strengthens.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 18?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 18?
84°F or higher 53%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
27%
84°F or higher
46%
84°F or higher 53%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
65°F or below
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$730 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$827 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$683 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$349 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$471 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$205 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$402 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$253 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$326 Vol.
27%
84°F or higher
$202 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 82-84°F for Houston on April 18, with 44% odds for 84°F or higher leading due to persistent high pressure ridge overhead promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds fostering warm advection. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project highs in the low to mid-80s, consistent with recent observations of upper-70s to low-80s this week amid above-normal April temperatures (averaging 78-80°F historically). Low precipitation chances (under 20%) minimize cooling effects, though thin high clouds could cap peaks below 85°F. New forecast updates expected Thursday afternoon from NOAA may refine trajectories as the ridge strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ET
Volumen
$5,750Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 82-84°F for Houston on April 18, with 44% odds for 84°F or higher leading due to persistent high pressure ridge overhead promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds fostering warm advection. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project highs in the low to mid-80s, consistent with recent observations of upper-70s to low-80s this week amid above-normal April temperatures (averaging 78-80°F historically). Low precipitation chances (under 20%) minimize cooling effects, though thin high clouds could cap peaks below 85°F. New forecast updates expected Thursday afternoon from NOAA may refine trajectories as the ridge strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,750Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 82-84°F for Houston on April 18, with 44% odds for 84°F or higher leading due to persistent high pressure ridge overhead promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds fostering warm advection. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project highs in the low to mid-80s, consistent with recent observations of upper-70s to low-80s this week amid above-normal April temperatures (averaging 78-80°F historically). Low precipitation chances (under 20%) minimize cooling effects, though thin high clouds could cap peaks below 85°F. New forecast updates expected Thursday afternoon from NOAA may refine trajectories as the ridge strengthens.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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