Current forecast models project a daily high temperature of 86–89°F in Houston on May 22, driven by typical late-spring southerly flow and ample solar heating under partly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 89°F. This positions the market-implied 100% odds for 90°F or higher on firm ground, as official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show minimal downside risk from cooling influences. Traders’ consensus reflects the low likelihood of significant deviations, such as an unseasonal frontal passage or widespread cloud cover reducing insolation. Resolution hinges on the official high at William P. Hobby Airport; only an abrupt model shift or measurement anomaly below the threshold could alter the outcome before close of day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on May 22?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 22?
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$54,518 Vol.
$54,518 Vol.
22 may 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
Yes
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$54,518 Vol.
$54,518 Vol.
22 may 2026
71°F or below
$1,184 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,213 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,887 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,338 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,945 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,950 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$3,120 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$5,408 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$5,772 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$7,829 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$15,874 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models project a daily high temperature of 86–89°F in Houston on May 22, driven by typical late-spring southerly flow and ample solar heating under partly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 89°F. This positions the market-implied 100% odds for 90°F or higher on firm ground, as official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show minimal downside risk from cooling influences. Traders’ consensus reflects the low likelihood of significant deviations, such as an unseasonal frontal passage or widespread cloud cover reducing insolation. Resolution hinges on the official high at William P. Hobby Airport; only an abrupt model shift or measurement anomaly below the threshold could alter the outcome before close of day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volumen
$54,518Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models project a daily high temperature of 86–89°F in Houston on May 22, driven by typical late-spring southerly flow and ample solar heating under partly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 89°F. This positions the market-implied 100% odds for 90°F or higher on firm ground, as official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show minimal downside risk from cooling influences. Traders’ consensus reflects the low likelihood of significant deviations, such as an unseasonal frontal passage or widespread cloud cover reducing insolation. Resolution hinges on the official high at William P. Hobby Airport; only an abrupt model shift or measurement anomaly below the threshold could alter the outcome before close of day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$54,518Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 20, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current forecast models project a daily high temperature of 86–89°F in Houston on May 22, driven by typical late-spring southerly flow and ample solar heating under partly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 89°F. This positions the market-implied 100% odds for 90°F or higher on firm ground, as official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show minimal downside risk from cooling influences. Traders’ consensus reflects the low likelihood of significant deviations, such as an unseasonal frontal passage or widespread cloud cover reducing insolation. Resolution hinges on the official high at William P. Hobby Airport; only an abrupt model shift or measurement anomaly below the threshold could alter the outcome before close of day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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