Official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service, indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C for Istanbul on June 8 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds. This aligns with early June climatology, where average highs hover near 24–26°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation or intensification potential. Trader positioning reflects this data certainty, with the 100% implied probability on 24°C underscoring the absence of variables like cloud cover changes or urban heat island effects that could push readings higher. An unexpected warm advection or station-specific measurement anomaly remains the primary, though low-probability, factor that could alter the outcome before final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 8?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 8?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,312 Vol.
$31,312 Vol.
8 jun 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,312 Vol.
$31,312 Vol.
8 jun 2026
18°C or below
$553 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,659 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,775 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,130 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,110 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,784 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,808 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$2,719 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,203 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,977 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$2,593 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service, indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C for Istanbul on June 8 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds. This aligns with early June climatology, where average highs hover near 24–26°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation or intensification potential. Trader positioning reflects this data certainty, with the 100% implied probability on 24°C underscoring the absence of variables like cloud cover changes or urban heat island effects that could push readings higher. An unexpected warm advection or station-specific measurement anomaly remains the primary, though low-probability, factor that could alter the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 6, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volumen
$31,312Fecha de finalización
8 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 6, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service, indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C for Istanbul on June 8 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds. This aligns with early June climatology, where average highs hover near 24–26°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation or intensification potential. Trader positioning reflects this data certainty, with the 100% implied probability on 24°C underscoring the absence of variables like cloud cover changes or urban heat island effects that could push readings higher. An unexpected warm advection or station-specific measurement anomaly remains the primary, though low-probability, factor that could alter the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,312Fecha de finalización
8 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 6, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service, indicate a daytime maximum of 24°C for Istanbul on June 8 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds. This aligns with early June climatology, where average highs hover near 24–26°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation or intensification potential. Trader positioning reflects this data certainty, with the 100% implied probability on 24°C underscoring the absence of variables like cloud cover changes or urban heat island effects that could push readings higher. An unexpected warm advection or station-specific measurement anomaly remains the primary, though low-probability, factor that could alter the outcome before final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes