Official meteorological stations, including those referenced by NOAA for Istanbul Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of at least 26°C on May 31, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This aligns with late-May climatological warming trends in the region, where average highs typically climb toward 22–24°C amid strengthening solar insolation and reduced Atlantic influence. Trader positioning reflects verified observational data rather than forecasts, with negligible probability assigned to cooler ranges due to the absence of anomalous cooling events. Minor model variability in preliminary runs could have introduced brief uncertainty, but final station readings eliminated it ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 31?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 31?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,429 Vol.
$40,429 Vol.
31 may 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,429 Vol.
$40,429 Vol.
31 may 2026
16°C or below
$281 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,385 Vol.
No
18°C
$569 Vol.
No
19°C
$181 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,109 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,596 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,625 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,212 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,009 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,389 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$13,074 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations, including those referenced by NOAA for Istanbul Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of at least 26°C on May 31, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This aligns with late-May climatological warming trends in the region, where average highs typically climb toward 22–24°C amid strengthening solar insolation and reduced Atlantic influence. Trader positioning reflects verified observational data rather than forecasts, with negligible probability assigned to cooler ranges due to the absence of anomalous cooling events. Minor model variability in preliminary runs could have introduced brief uncertainty, but final station readings eliminated it ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: May 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$40,429Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations, including those referenced by NOAA for Istanbul Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of at least 26°C on May 31, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This aligns with late-May climatological warming trends in the region, where average highs typically climb toward 22–24°C amid strengthening solar insolation and reduced Atlantic influence. Trader positioning reflects verified observational data rather than forecasts, with negligible probability assigned to cooler ranges due to the absence of anomalous cooling events. Minor model variability in preliminary runs could have introduced brief uncertainty, but final station readings eliminated it ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40,429Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 29, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official meteorological stations, including those referenced by NOAA for Istanbul Airport, recorded a daily maximum temperature of at least 26°C on May 31, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This aligns with late-May climatological warming trends in the region, where average highs typically climb toward 22–24°C amid strengthening solar insolation and reduced Atlantic influence. Trader positioning reflects verified observational data rather than forecasts, with negligible probability assigned to cooler ranges due to the absence of anomalous cooling events. Minor model variability in preliminary runs could have introduced brief uncertainty, but final station readings eliminated it ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes