Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 32°C high in Jakarta on April 18 at 34.5% implied probability, edging out 33°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts showing cloudy conditions (berawan) across DKI Jakarta with daytime ranges of 24–30°C amid 73–95% humidity. These projections stem from persistent cloud cover and light rain risks suppressing peak solar heating, particularly in central areas (25–28°C), though southern and eastern districts could touch 30°C. Differentiating factors include Jakarta's urban heat island effect potentially pushing observed maxima higher at official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma, historical April averages near 32°C, and AccuWeather's broader model runs up to 33.6°C. ENSO-neutral conditions support typical transitional-season warmth, but daily BMKG updates through April 17 could refine cloud persistence and steering winds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
33°C 30%
32°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
18%
32°C
28%
33°C
30%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
32°C 28%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
18%
32°C
28%
33°C
30%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 32°C high in Jakarta on April 18 at 34.5% implied probability, edging out 33°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts showing cloudy conditions (berawan) across DKI Jakarta with daytime ranges of 24–30°C amid 73–95% humidity. These projections stem from persistent cloud cover and light rain risks suppressing peak solar heating, particularly in central areas (25–28°C), though southern and eastern districts could touch 30°C. Differentiating factors include Jakarta's urban heat island effect potentially pushing observed maxima higher at official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma, historical April averages near 32°C, and AccuWeather's broader model runs up to 33.6°C. ENSO-neutral conditions support typical transitional-season warmth, but daily BMKG updates through April 17 could refine cloud persistence and steering winds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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