Current NiMet guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Lagos' April 18 high temperature near the mid-April climatological average of 32°C, amid ENSO-neutral conditions supporting typical dry-season heat during the transition to wetter weather. The tight trader consensus reflects scientific uncertainty in daily peaks, differentiated by sea breeze timing from the Atlantic—which often cools afternoons to the low 30s°C—versus urban heat island effects in the megacity that can add 1–2°C. Variable cloud cover from emerging convection or isolated showers may suppress highs below 34°C, while prolonged sunshine risks 36–37°C outliers. NiMet's April 17 outlook and fresh model runs will clarify these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
33°C 36%
32°C 20%
34°C 20%
31°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
17%
31°C
19%
32°C
20%
33°C
36%
34°C
20%
35°C
19%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 36%
32°C 20%
34°C 20%
31°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
27°C or below
$169 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
36%
34°C
$0 Vol.
20%
35°C
$0 Vol.
19%
36°C
$0 Vol.
18%
37°C or higher
$6 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current NiMet guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Lagos' April 18 high temperature near the mid-April climatological average of 32°C, amid ENSO-neutral conditions supporting typical dry-season heat during the transition to wetter weather. The tight trader consensus reflects scientific uncertainty in daily peaks, differentiated by sea breeze timing from the Atlantic—which often cools afternoons to the low 30s°C—versus urban heat island effects in the megacity that can add 1–2°C. Variable cloud cover from emerging convection or isolated showers may suppress highs below 34°C, while prolonged sunshine risks 36–37°C outliers. NiMet's April 17 outlook and fresh model runs will clarify these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
Volumen
$169Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current NiMet guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Lagos' April 18 high temperature near the mid-April climatological average of 32°C, amid ENSO-neutral conditions supporting typical dry-season heat during the transition to wetter weather. The tight trader consensus reflects scientific uncertainty in daily peaks, differentiated by sea breeze timing from the Atlantic—which often cools afternoons to the low 30s°C—versus urban heat island effects in the megacity that can add 1–2°C. Variable cloud cover from emerging convection or isolated showers may suppress highs below 34°C, while prolonged sunshine risks 36–37°C outliers. NiMet's April 17 outlook and fresh model runs will clarify these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$169Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NiMet guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Lagos' April 18 high temperature near the mid-April climatological average of 32°C, amid ENSO-neutral conditions supporting typical dry-season heat during the transition to wetter weather. The tight trader consensus reflects scientific uncertainty in daily peaks, differentiated by sea breeze timing from the Atlantic—which often cools afternoons to the low 30s°C—versus urban heat island effects in the megacity that can add 1–2°C. Variable cloud cover from emerging convection or isolated showers may suppress highs below 34°C, while prolonged sunshine risks 36–37°C outliers. NiMet's April 17 outlook and fresh model runs will clarify these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes