Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 5?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 5?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,703 Vol.
$70,703 Vol.
5 may 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$70,703 Vol.
$70,703 Vol.
5 may 2026
27°C or below
$23,631 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,270 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,021 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,887 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,439 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,059 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,421 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$5,934 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,200 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,805 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,036 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$70,703Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$70,703Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station (DNMM) in Lagos confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C on May 5, 2026, peaking at 11:00 and 16:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions with no precipitation, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This aligns with Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) outlooks for above-normal early May temperatures under weak La Niña influences, consistent with historical May highs averaging 31°C but frequently hitting 33°C due to urban heat effects and sea breeze moderation. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization revisions to Weather Underground's aggregated METAR data—disregarded per market rules—or station sensor discrepancies, though current evidence provides overwhelming support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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