India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 16 under mainly clear skies with light winds, following 38°C observed on April 14 and projected 39°C today amid a gradual 4-5°C rise across Uttar Pradesh driven by the seasonal heatwave onset. Trader sentiment clusters around 40°C (37%) and 41°C (31.5%), reflecting market-implied odds for exceedance due to persistent dry conditions, low soil moisture limiting evaporative cooling, and high solar insolation on cloudless days—factors that historically push mid-April peaks 1-2°C above IMD guidance during heat buildup. Key differentiators include potential dry hot "loo" winds and urban heat island effects; new hourly observations and IMD updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
40°C 38%
41°C 33%
39°C 18%
42°C 12%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
5%
39°C
18%
40°C
38%
41°C
33%
42°C
12%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C or higher
1%
40°C 38%
41°C 33%
39°C 18%
42°C 12%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
5%
39°C
18%
40°C
38%
41°C
33%
42°C
12%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C in Lucknow on April 16 under mainly clear skies with light winds, following 38°C observed on April 14 and projected 39°C today amid a gradual 4-5°C rise across Uttar Pradesh driven by the seasonal heatwave onset. Trader sentiment clusters around 40°C (37%) and 41°C (31.5%), reflecting market-implied odds for exceedance due to persistent dry conditions, low soil moisture limiting evaporative cooling, and high solar insolation on cloudless days—factors that historically push mid-April peaks 1-2°C above IMD guidance during heat buildup. Key differentiators include potential dry hot "loo" winds and urban heat island effects; new hourly observations and IMD updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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