Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 1?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 1?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,271 Vol.
$114,271 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,271 Vol.
$114,271 Vol.
1 may 2026
19°C or below
$4,299 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,591 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,667 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,401 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,439 Vol.
No
24°C
$20,160 Vol.
No
25°C
$18,292 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$14,895 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,619 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,228 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$8,682 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$114,271Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$114,271Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes