Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 23?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 23?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,115 Vol.
$61,115 Vol.
23 may 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,115 Vol.
$61,115 Vol.
23 may 2026
28°C or below
$2,981 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,215 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,843 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,605 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,119 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$8,866 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,978 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,092 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,637 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,482 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,296 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Volumen
$61,115Fecha de finalización
23 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$61,115Fecha de finalización
23 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes