PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated April 15, 2026, projects a high of 34°C in Metro Manila on April 16 under partly cloudy skies with no rain expected, reflecting a persistent ridge of high-pressure area that promotes subsidence and clear conditions during the peak dry season. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 33°C and 34°C outcomes at 30.5% each, while slightly lower odds for 35°C+ stem from ensemble model variations—such as international forecasts like AccuWeather suggesting up to 37°C amid urban heat island amplification at the Science Garden station. Differentiating factors include solar insolation intensity, light easterly winds, and potential isolated afternoon convection, with historical April averages around 33.5°C but recent days exceeding forecasts due to low humidity boosting heat index to danger levels (42-51°C). New PAGASA advisories expected twice daily could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on April 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
31°C 50%
33°C 27%
35°C 27%
34°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
50%
32°C
25%
33°C
27%
34°C
26%
35°C
27%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
26%
31°C 50%
33°C 27%
35°C 27%
34°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
29°C or below
$189 Vol.
1%
30°C
$187 Vol.
1%
31°C
$187 Vol.
50%
32°C
$7 Vol.
25%
33°C
$0 Vol.
27%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
27%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$0 Vol.
26%
38°C
$0 Vol.
26%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated April 15, 2026, projects a high of 34°C in Metro Manila on April 16 under partly cloudy skies with no rain expected, reflecting a persistent ridge of high-pressure area that promotes subsidence and clear conditions during the peak dry season. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 33°C and 34°C outcomes at 30.5% each, while slightly lower odds for 35°C+ stem from ensemble model variations—such as international forecasts like AccuWeather suggesting up to 37°C amid urban heat island amplification at the Science Garden station. Differentiating factors include solar insolation intensity, light easterly winds, and potential isolated afternoon convection, with historical April averages around 33.5°C but recent days exceeding forecasts due to low humidity boosting heat index to danger levels (42-51°C). New PAGASA advisories expected twice daily could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volumen
$401Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated April 15, 2026, projects a high of 34°C in Metro Manila on April 16 under partly cloudy skies with no rain expected, reflecting a persistent ridge of high-pressure area that promotes subsidence and clear conditions during the peak dry season. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 33°C and 34°C outcomes at 30.5% each, while slightly lower odds for 35°C+ stem from ensemble model variations—such as international forecasts like AccuWeather suggesting up to 37°C amid urban heat island amplification at the Science Garden station. Differentiating factors include solar insolation intensity, light easterly winds, and potential isolated afternoon convection, with historical April averages around 33.5°C but recent days exceeding forecasts due to low humidity boosting heat index to danger levels (42-51°C). New PAGASA advisories expected twice daily could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$401Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated April 15, 2026, projects a high of 34°C in Metro Manila on April 16 under partly cloudy skies with no rain expected, reflecting a persistent ridge of high-pressure area that promotes subsidence and clear conditions during the peak dry season. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 33°C and 34°C outcomes at 30.5% each, while slightly lower odds for 35°C+ stem from ensemble model variations—such as international forecasts like AccuWeather suggesting up to 37°C amid urban heat island amplification at the Science Garden station. Differentiating factors include solar insolation intensity, light easterly winds, and potential isolated afternoon convection, with historical April averages around 33.5°C but recent days exceeding forecasts due to low humidity boosting heat index to danger levels (42-51°C). New PAGASA advisories expected twice daily could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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